Category
Description
Framework for Optimizing Reliable Energy Systems and Infrastructure Given High-uncertainty Trajectories (FORESIGHT)
The FORESIGHT initiative develops a first-of-its-kind multi-system operational and near-term planning framework to systematically account for evolving probabilities of weather extremes, uncertainties in technologies and policies, and the financial challenges to potential investors.
The integrated analytics aims to support grid investment and operational strategy through the next generation of resources to support reliability assurance efforts. Dataset, computational methods, dissemination tools, and best practices are available through this portal to:
- Regulatory entities to develop reliability standards with the intended robustness and performance targets
- Utilities to develop their compliance plans and meet their mandate of adequacy, reliability, and affordability
- Investors who need robust and stable assurance plans to support their investment plans.
For more information about the initiative, https://www.pnnl.gov/projects/foresight
Contact Information: Nathalie Voisin (FORESIGHT Lead) nathalie.voisin@pnnl.gov
The most recent data will also be available on GridCRED(TM).
The resources are available in the project pages as organized below:
1) FORESIGHT - Pillar 1: Risk-Aware Support for Reliability Standards - CONUS
- climate simulations
- hydrological simulations
- libraries of extreme events
- power system ready datasets for generation (capacity factor for wind and solar energy, weekly and monthly generation targets for hydropower + flexibility)
- power system ready datasets for load
- Power system ready datasets for dynamic probabilities of forced outage driven by extreme weather events by technology and region
The power system ready datasets are coincident in space and time.
2) FORESIGHT - Pillar 2: Propagation through the multi-systems planning process - Western US
- Ensemble of infrastructure scenarios for 2035 and 2045 planning years in response to decadal uncertainties in extreme weather.
- Infrastructure scenarios for 2035 and 2045 planning years, in resp
In phase 1, assumptions for load and technology projections available soon.
3) FORESIGHT - Pillar 3: Financial feasibility (Pacific Northwest)
- Evaluation platform for any infrastructure scenarios
- Analytics to explore combinations of investments in line with existing investors' risk comfort